Golden Ratio: FX
Showing posts with label FX. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FX. Show all posts

2020-08-24

$GBPUSD : Is this the final leg up for CABLE?

 Cable, as GBPUSD is popularly known, taking its name from the first truly successful cable across the Atlantic, which once completed in July 1866 allowed reliable transmission of currency prices between the London and New York City Exchanges, has been an important pillar in world currency markets. Even though british empire and GBP have paled in significance in the the league table of world economies, GBP still remains the 4th biggest reserve currency of the world as per IMF data.

Since hitting new multi decade lows in Feb 2020, Cable made strong recovery along with rest of the asset classes from the lows of 1.1414 to nearly 1.3085 today. Does it mean the worst is behind us or the rally is coming to an end. 

Let us find out!

2013-04-17

$GBPUSD $6B_F : Mighty Pound could be in trouble

Sterling is looking seriously week on longer term time frames.

1.4525 area as possible next target with further downside possible.


Before 1944 British Pound was once the reserve currency of the world. Today less than 4% of worlds reserves are kept in GBP but even that makes it the third major currency in the global reserves game. But progressively British world dominance has declined together with decimation of its industrial base and over reliance of the economy on financial services. After hitting a peak of 2.1160 (not all time high but high in last 20 years) Sterling has progressively given ground against US Dollar and during the 2007-2009 financial crisis it plunged as low as 1.3502. Since then GBP has been in a very tight range for last 4 years failing to move either way out of the range. Here is a weekly chart of GBP since Oct 2007.